Goodwood Pageant 2021 (Day 3) Provide – Sky Guess

It’s Day 3 of Goodwood Pageant 2021 on Thursday and it’s time for one more Sky Guess a reimbursement provide! If our horse finishes 2nd or third within the 15:00 Goodwood, Sky Guess will refund our stake as money, as much as a most of £10.00. Translated into matched betting phrases, this provides us a potential revenue of £9.19 and right here’s how…

Key phrases

  • Applies to our first guess on the 15:00 Goodwood.
  • Applies to bets positioned between 11:00 on Tuesday twenty seventh July 2021 and 15:00 (race-off) on Thursday twenty ninth July 2021.
  • If fewer than six runners come beneath starters orders, Sky Guess might withdraw the provide.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd or third, Sky Guess will refund our stake as money, as much as £10.00.

Qualifying guess

In case you’d like extra details about qualifying bets and the way they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s solely as much as you which of them horse you go for, however it could make sense to pick a horse with pretty quick odds within the hope of a 2nd or third place end.

On the time of writing, Third Realm is accessible at again odds of three.50 (5/2) and lay odds of three.75.

We are able to calculate our lay stake utilizing my Matched Betting Calculator

As you’ll be able to see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake ought to be £9.38…

Sky Bet logo

Place £10.00 on Third Realm @ 3.50 = Potential revenue of £25.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.38 on Third Realm @ 3.75 = Potential legal responsibility of £25.79


Let’s take a look at our potential revenue/loss for the potential outcomes…

Consequence Sky Guess Smarkets Cashback Revenue/Loss
Third Realm wins + £25.00 – £25.79 £0.79 loss
Third Realm finishes 2nd or third – £10.00 + £9.19 + £10.00 £9.19 revenue
Some other consequence – £10.00 + £9.19 £0.81 loss

So, we’ll make a good revenue of £9.19 if Third Realm finishes 2nd or third or we’ll lose a most of £0.81 on some other consequence. Risking £0.81 to make a possible revenue of £9.19 provides us efficient odds of 12.35, which I’m certain you’ll agree, makes this a worthwhile provide in the long term.

If eligible, money refunds might be credited inside 72 hours of the race ending.

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